{"id":13191,"date":"2026-08-04T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-08-04T13:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/progresso.com.br\/?p=13191"},"modified":"2026-08-04T08:26:45","modified_gmt":"2026-08-04T12:26:45","slug":"copom-inicia-reuniao-que-definira-taxa-basica-de-juros","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/progresso.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/08\/04\/copom-inicia-reuniao-que-definira-taxa-basica-de-juros\/","title":{"rendered":"Copom inicia reuni\u00e3o que definir\u00e1 taxa b\u00e1sica de juros"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Medida ser\u00e1 divulgada na 4\u00aa feira ap\u00f3s avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do cen\u00e1rio econ\u00f4mico<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pedro Peduzzi – Ag\u00eancia Brasil<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Come\u00e7a nesta ter\u00e7a-feira (4) a quinta reuni\u00e3o de 2026 do Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do Banco Central (BC). As expectativas s\u00e3o de que a decis\u00e3o sobre a Taxa Selic seja anunciada dia 5 de agosto, ap\u00f3s os dois dias de discuss\u00f5es do grupo sobre o cen\u00e1rio econ\u00f4mico nacional e internacional.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

O Copom re\u00fane-se a cada 45 dias. No primeiro dia do encontro, s\u00e3o feitas apresenta\u00e7\u00f5es t\u00e9cnicas sobre a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o e as perspectivas das economias brasileira e mundial, al\u00e9m do comportamento do mercado financeiro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

No segundo dia, os integrantes do comit\u00ea analisam os cen\u00e1rios e definem o n\u00edvel da taxa b\u00e1sica de juros (Selic).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Boletim Focus<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A quinta reuni\u00e3o do comit\u00ea ocorre um dia ap\u00f3s o mercado financeiro ter reduzido de 14% para 13,75% as expectativas da Selic (taxa b\u00e1sica de juros) para 2026, como mostrou o Boletim Focus divulgado na segunda-feira (3).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Esta foi a primeira vez, desde mar\u00e7o, que o mercado rev\u00ea para baixo as expectativas para a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Em reuni\u00f5es anteriores, o Copom chegou a acenar com a possibilidade de corte da Taxa Selic. No entanto, o conflito entre Estados Unidos e Ir\u00e3<\/a> acabou gerando incertezas, principalmente em alguns pre\u00e7os \u2013 em especial sobre os combust\u00edveis, o que levou o comit\u00ea a adotar mais cautela em suas decis\u00f5es.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Atualmente em 14,25% ao ano, a Selic est\u00e1 no menor n\u00edvel de 2026, ap\u00f3s tr\u00eas redu\u00e7\u00f5es consecutivas de 0,25 ponto percentual promovidas pelo Copom nas reuni\u00f5es de mar\u00e7o, abril e junho.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Infla\u00e7\u00e3o<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A expectativa de infla\u00e7\u00e3o para 2026 tem melhorado no Brasil, segundo o mais recente Boletim Focus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pela quinta semana consecutiva, os analistas consultados pelo BC para a elabora\u00e7\u00e3o do documento reduziram a proje\u00e7\u00e3o para o \u00cdndice Nacional de Pre\u00e7os ao Consumidor Amplo (IPCA, considerada a infla\u00e7\u00e3o oficial do pa\u00eds) para o ano. A estimativa passou de 5,12% para 5,03%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apesar da melhora, a proje\u00e7\u00e3o continua acima do teto da meta cont\u00ednua de infla\u00e7\u00e3o perseguida pelo Banco Central. Definida pelo Conselho Monet\u00e1rio Nacional (CMN), a meta \u00e9 3%, com intervalo de toler\u00e2ncia de 1,5 ponto percentual para cima ou para baixo. Assim, o limite superior \u00e9 4,5%.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taxa Selic<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A taxa b\u00e1sica de juros \u00e9 usada nas negocia\u00e7\u00f5es de t\u00edtulos p\u00fablicos emitidos pelo Tesouro Nacional, servindo de refer\u00eancia para as demais taxas da economia. Ela \u00e9 o principal instrumento do Banco Central para manter a infla\u00e7\u00e3o sob controle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quando o Copom aumenta a taxa b\u00e1sica de juros, a finalidade \u00e9 conter a demanda aquecida. Juros mais altos encarecem o cr\u00e9dito e estimulam a poupan\u00e7a, reduzindo press\u00f5es sobre os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Por outro lado, taxas mais elevadas tamb\u00e9m podem dificultar a expans\u00e3o da economia. Al\u00e9m da Selic, os bancos consideram fatores como risco de inadimpl\u00eancia, custos administrativos e margem de lucro ao definir os juros cobrados dos consumidores.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Quando a Selic \u00e9 reduzida, a tend\u00eancia \u00e9 cr\u00e9dito mais barato, favorecendo consumo e investimentos estimulando a atividade econ\u00f4mica.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Medida ser\u00e1 divulgada na 4\u00aa feira ap\u00f3s avalia\u00e7\u00e3o do cen\u00e1rio econ\u00f4mico Pedro Peduzzi – Ag\u00eancia Brasil Come\u00e7a nesta ter\u00e7a-feira (4) a quinta reuni\u00e3o de 2026 do Comit\u00ea de Pol\u00edtica Monet\u00e1ria (Copom) do Banco Central (BC). As expectativas s\u00e3o de que a decis\u00e3o sobre a Taxa Selic seja anunciada dia 5 de agosto, ap\u00f3s os dois dias […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13125,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13191","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia","category-destaque"],"yoast_head":"\nCopom inicia reuni\u00e3o que definir\u00e1 taxa b\u00e1sica de juros - O PROGRESSO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/progresso.com.br\/index.php\/2026\/08\/04\/copom-inicia-reuniao-que-definira-taxa-basica-de-juros\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Copom inicia reuni\u00e3o que definir\u00e1 taxa b\u00e1sica de juros - 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